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A |     "I think it would be best for President Trump to hold-back on an early announcement," said Earl Rasmussen, executive vice-president of Eurasia Group. "An early announcement may be a distraction from the very critical mid-term Congressional races and provide a mechanism to mobilize the Democratic base. Currently, it looks as if there will be a landslide of historic proportions resulting in a 'Red Tidal Wave' switching both the House and the Senate to a sizable Republican majority.",Politico and the Washington Post reported last week that Trump had met with top Republican donors, discussing the midterms and a potential Trump 2024 campaign. The Post quoted one Trump ally who, speaking on conditions of anonymity, put the odds at “70-30 he announces [his presidential bid] before the midterms.” Others did not rule out that he may announce it sooner than September.,"My own view is that President Trump would better campaign for the candidates he is supporting," explained Rasmussen. "This would give extra attention to the importance of local races; provide his support to the congressional candidates while at the same time getting visibility nationwide without the focus on himself. This could be very positive for the Republican Party and the Trump movement.",Meanwhile, 49% of Republicans place Trump at the top of their list of potential presidential candidates, with Florida Governor Rick DeSantis sitting on 25%, noted US political analyst Don DeBar.,Similarly, a poll by Morning Consult/Politico released on June 29 indicated that Trump has maintained his position among GOP voters, with the majority saying they'd vote for him in a 2024 Republican presidential primary. At the same time, candidates who have either been endorsed or supported by Trump were largely successful during the GOP primaries.,"Should the economy continue to tumble downward, and if the war in Ukraine continues to induce fear of a global conflagration, Republicans may find Trump invaluable, if not indispensable, in capturing both houses of Congresses and a number of state legislatures as well," said DeBar.,Poll: Biden's Economic Approval Rating at 30%, Lower Than Nadirs for Trump and ObamaYesterday, 16:59 GMT,Dems Seeking to Reinvigorate Bases,Democratic strategists are hoping a Trump pre-midterm announcement might help Democrats galvanize their base.,"The American electorate is highly polarized by party, and a combination of a five year wall-to-wall media campaign attacking Trump, along with constant legal and procedural attacks by Democrats, the 'intelligence community' and other organs of what has become known as 'the deep state' has placed him in the role of public enemy number one in the eyes of Democrats," explained DeBar.,This situation, along with Trump's popularity among Republicans and the loss of legitimacy of GOP establishment politicians, "has also created a deep cleavage within that party along the lines of pro-Trump and anti-Trump Republican officials," according to the political analyst.,"As for energizing Democrats to come out and vote against those associated with Trump, clearly this is a part of the Democrat's strategy - the January 6 show hearings are prima facie evidence of this," he said. "But that is a strategy that has failed a number of times, beginning with the 2016 election. And the fact that Biden's numbers are at the same level as Richard Nixon's on the day before he resigned in disgrace means, absent some miraculous turnaround in the economy and a return to normalcy in eastern Europe, Democrats will go down in flames in the fall no matter the type or intensity of mobilization of their voters by any negative campaign based upon hatred of Trump.",House Jan. 6 Committee Subpoenas Secret Service Over Alleged Missing Text Messages on Capitol Breach16 July, 12:44 GMT,House Select Committee on Jan 6 Attack,The Dems apparently hope that the House Select Committee investigating the January 6 protests may throw sand in the gears of Trump and the Make America Great Again movement.,According to Politico, the panel's "much-anticipated hearing" will happen on Thursday. It is expected to feature former Trump White House press aide Sarah Matthews and former Deputy National Security Adviser Matthew Pottinger. Moreover, committee members, aides and allies say that their investigations and hearings will continue past November, with the only "hard deadline" being January 3, 2023, "when Republicans likely take over the House," Politico reports.,"The committee is a circus!" said Rasmussen. "It is even more tragic than the [Special Counsel Robert] Mueller investigation. We have hundreds of people, many held without charges, being kept and tried as political prisoners. This is not about justice; it is criminal what is happening to patriotic people exercising their right to be heard with many being lured onto Capitol grounds. The hearings are a tragedy to our nation’s underlying values.",Rasmussen projects that the Dems "will try to drag the Committee hearings out as long as possible" even though they have not received the reaction that was sought for. The Democratic Party has a lot of failing policies and hearings apparently serve as a sort of distraction. The think tank executive vice president does not think that the Dem’s effort poses an obstacle for Trump, however, like the Mueller Investigation, it could provide additional challenges.,"Clearly, the January 6 Committee is attempting to do a (former President of Brazil) Lula on Trump - tie him up in criminal and other court proceedings to render him either legally or politically ineligible to run, in order to prevent him from winning another term," said DeBar.,However, the political analyst suggested that efforts to delegitimize Trump could prompt fierce resistance from his multi-million base. DeBar does not rule out that "if Trump is barred from running through a process that appears illegitimate in front of those voters, there is a real possibility that it could provoke an actual - and not play-pretend - insurrection, which could, in turn, lead to open civil war."。    家长们都知道，新加坡的基础教育在世界上处于一直领先地位。近年来，随着新加坡数学的热度越来越高，孩子数学启蒙，很多家长都选择采用新加坡的教学方法。特别是一些咱们国内的国际学校，也会采用新加坡数学来给孩子启蒙。许多学习了新加坡数学的孩子也已经在袋鼠、新加坡SASMO、AMC等等数学竞赛斩获了金奖无数。

B | 那么，被称为“世界第一”的新加坡数学到底牛在哪？是怎么学的？今天就为你揭秘！新加坡的数学教育 新加坡数学确实有着一套非常成熟且备受赞誉的教学结构。新加坡数学的教学方式强调对基础概念的理解，以及问题解决能力的培养。国际上非常权威的学生能力测评TIMSS和PISA中，新加坡的学生在数学项目中始终名列前茅。

C | 图源：PISA官网现在全球有超过40多个国家把新加坡数学作为教材。

D | 在中国，新加坡数学同样受到欢迎。虽然中国数学在计算和技巧上的表现很出色，但在理解数学概念和培养数学思维方面，确实存在一些“短板”。而新加坡数学则提供了一种中西合璧的解决方案，可以在保持与中国数学接近的进度和难度的同时，又与英美的数学思维和英语表达方式接轨。那么，新加坡数学究竟采用了什么样的教学方法呢？数学学习利器——CPA教学法 新加坡数学的一大特点就是使用“具象化模型（CPA教学法）”讲解数学概念和解题思路。

E | 理解后再辅以适当的练习，极大地降低了孩子理解抽象数学概念的难度。CPA教学法，又称 “三步教学法”，在数学启蒙阶段，帮助孩子建立良好的“数感”，包括了三个方面：C - Concrete 具象化P - Pictorial 图形化A - Abstract 抽象化那么对比中国以及欧美，新加坡的CPA教学法到底强在哪呢？接下来就举个例子，让家长们能形象的了解这三大数学学习体系的区别。举个例子问题是：有1个苹果和2个橘子，问一共有多少个水果。中国孩子看到题目会直接摆出算式：1+2=3；欧美孩子会画出1个苹果和2个橘子，数一数有3个水果；新加坡孩子则会这么做：通过画模型的方式，把抽象概念具体化，然后再转换为1+2=3的等式。看似CPA好像让一个简单的数学问题变得多了一个步骤。但是对于孩子来说，相比于“一步到位”的抽象，多了一个过渡的阶段，帮助学生更好地适应不同年龄阶段的数学学习内容。通过激发孩子的学习兴趣和参与度，培养他们的数学思维和解决问题的能力。这对于学生的长期发展和未来学习具有重要的意义。进阶学习：适应孩子的学习规律 通过将具像化、形象化和抽象化三种思维模式阶梯式过渡的教学方法，可以帮助学生更好地适应不同年龄阶段的学习内容。激发他们的学习兴趣和参与度，培养他们的数学思维和解决问题的能力。图源：新加坡教育部官网这种递进式的学习，对于学生的长期发展和未来学习具有重要的意义。其实仔细对比，中国与新加坡的教材大纲都差不多，只是在安排顺序、深度、广度上有些许差别。第一阶段 适合年龄：3-6岁内容重点：包含了50以内的数数，20以内的加减，5以内的乘法以及基本的形状、颜色、时间。难度体现：题目难度是循序渐进的。虽然全文都是英文，且在内容里还会涉及英语的学习，但是以图片为主，没有英语基础也可以学。第二阶段 适合年龄段：6-9岁内容重点：100以内的加减，1000以内的加减，10000以内的加减，乘法，除法，钱币换算，时间，形状，容量，重量，长度的测量和计算，平面几何、角、面积、条形统计图、分数。难度体现：在这个阶段，需要用建模练习数字结构，用建模法数字结构讲解加法，也会更重视应用题的练习。第三阶段 适合年龄：9-12岁内容重点：6位数以内加减，8位数的读写，3位、4位数的乘法除法，分数、小数的加减乘除，平面几何，立体几何，时间计算，图表，比率，小数、分数和百分比的转换，平均数，代数，速度计算。难度体现：开始要求孩子根据线形图表分析数据，图表题将几何、分数等内容结合在一起，而且平面几何题开始涉及立体几何和空间思维。阅读理解的句式也变得更加复杂了，涉及内容也更加深广。

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